Will Mamata or Modi benefit from the triangular battle for Muslim-majority seats
West Bengal / Assam: Some parties expect the West Bengal elections to be anti-Hindu and anti-Muslim. Attempts are also being made to polarize Hindu-Muslim views in this election. Muslims constitute 30 per cent of the total population of the state. The unilateral vote of the Muslim community in 70 to 100 out of 294 seats could lead to victory and defeat. It will be important to see whether Mamata or Modi will benefit from the triangular battle for Muslim-majority seats.
The West Bengal Assembly elections so far have been triangular. The BJP, Mamata and the Left, the Congress and Furfura Sharif’s Peerzada’s Abbas Siddiqui are all trying to capture West Bengal. In addition, the entry of MIM has once again started the discussion of the division of Muslim votes in the West Bengal elections.
In Bengal, the BJP also understands the importance of Muslim voters and that is why local experts believe that Owaisi is a part of their election strategy. The TMC has also accused MIM of being the BJP’s ‘B team’. However, Owaisi may reduce Mamata’s vote in some seats. Attempts are being made to make Owaisi Chirag Paswan in the Bengal elections. Similarly, Owaisi will not be able to win the Bengal elections this time. But TMC’s game could definitely go bad.
Muslims make up 30 per cent of the total population in the state of West Bengal. The unilateral vote of the Muslim community in 70 to 100 out of 294 seats could lead to victory and defeat. The Congress and the Left had earlier formed an alliance, but they are joined by Furfura Sharif’s Peerzada Abbas Siddiqui. Minorities in Bengal are mainly practiced by two religious institutions. Among these are the Jamiat Ulema-e-Hind, which imitate the Deobandi Adarsh and Furfura Sharif. So the Left and the Congress allied with Furfura Sharif’s Abbas Siddiqui to win Mamata’s Muslim votes.
Will West Bengal Muslims leave Mamata and join Owaisi? Will Owaisi and Siddiqui take a completely different role and polarize the vote? Will this hurt TMC? These questions have come up from time to time. MIM’s Sarvesarva Asodin Owaisi was in a dilemma whether to contest the West Bengal elections or not, so he did not make his ground here.
The importance of Furfura Sharif’s Peerzada Abbas Siddiqui in the Muslim community will not be forgotten as he is a Bengali Muslim. They are definitely dominant in some districts of Bengal. The districts bordering Bangladesh have a large Muslim population. In Murshidabad, Malda and North Dinajpur, their population is over 40 per cent. Apart from this, their votes also have a significant impact on the South and North 24-Parganas districts.
Out of 294 seats in the Assembly, 70 to 100 Muslim seats are decisive. Until 2006, the Left Front controlled the Muslim vote bank in the state. But then, voters in the constituency gradually attracted Mamata’s Trinamool Congress, and in 2011 and 2016, Mamata remained in power because of this vote bank. Therefore, a year after the state came to power in 2011, Mamata announced a monthly allowance of Rs 2,500 to the Imams so that Mamata would not polarize the Muslim vote.
It is said that Muslim women have been with the BJP in Bihar elections before .The BJP claims that this time we will get the votes of Muslim women. But the political situation in the two states is completely different. It will be important to see whether Mamata or Modi will benefit from the triangular contest for Muslim-majority seats in the West Bengal elections.
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